"If I know it was written by AI, I won't read it."
Every time I see this, I find it a bit strange.
Because many people who say they hate AI content happily hand over their time to various platforms every single day.
They think they're actively choosing what to consume.
But more often than not, the content is choosing them.
The real genius of platforms isn't producing content. It's exploiting human weakness.
People are wired to crave novelty, fear missing out, love instant feedback, and get easily pulled by emotion.
One recommendation after another, endlessly refreshing feeds, bottomless content pools — all of it keeps stimulating these primal instincts.
And so many people, knowing full well there's nothing rewarding further down, still can't stop scrolling.
Because the human drive for short-term gratification almost always overpowers the commitment to long-term value.
This is also how people unwittingly become the platform's laborers — trading their attention for the platform's profit, while thinking they're just killing a bit of time.
In reality, most people have no idea who wrote what they consume every day.
WeChat articles, short video scripts, news summaries, marketing copy, product descriptions, search results, social media posts...
Behind so much of this content, AI was already there.
And that's only going to increase.
The real question has never been:
"Was this written by AI?"
It's always been:
"Is this worth my time?"
If an article has insight, value, real information gain — if it genuinely expands my thinking — why should I care whether AI helped create it?
Conversely.
If an article is hollow, patchwork, clickbaity, manufactured emotion...
Even if the author typed every single character by hand, it's still garbage.
Garbage doesn't become gold just because a human wrote it.
And gold doesn't become garbage just because AI was involved.
A lot of people are conflating two different things.
They think what they hate is AI.
What they actually hate is low-quality content.
In the past, producing garbage was relatively expensive.
Now AI has driven the cost to near zero.
So garbage floods out like a deluge.
And everyone jumps to a conclusion:
There's more garbage now, so it must be AI's fault.
It's not.
Garbage has always been there.
It was just produced in limited quantities before.
What's really changed isn't content production.
It's the competition for attention.
Before, the hardest part for a creator was producing the work.
Now, the hardest part is being seen.
And the future will only intensify this.
Because content will grow infinitely.
But human eyeballs are forever finite.
Infinite supply.
Limited demand.
This is the destiny every content industry eventually faces.
So the scarcest resource of the future isn't content.
It's curation.
Not generation.
But selection.
Who can find you that one article worth reading among ten thousand?
Who can find you those ten truly valuable minutes among ten thousand videos?
That's who holds the new leverage.
Some people are still stuck on the question:
"If AI produces all the content, won't only AI be left reading it?"
But that's asking the question backwards.
Who cares whether it's AIGC or human-generated content?
What you actually care about is the content itself.
Just like you wouldn't refuse a good meal because you don't know the chef's name.
And you wouldn't refuse to eat because the chef used a rice cooker.
The tool was never the point.
The result is.
Here's what's even more interesting.
Those who most fiercely oppose AIGC often default to the assumption that human creation is inherently nobler.
But reality says otherwise.
Throughout human history, the vast majority of content was never read by anyone.
Most books sell fewer than a few hundred copies.
Most WeChat articles get dismal readership.
Most videos sink without a trace after publishing.
Being seen has always been a probability game.
In an age of information explosion.
A carefully crafted work — whether AI-assisted or not — has an overwhelming probability of being buried.
While a piece meticulously engineered to harvest attention can easily rack up millions of views.
Because the people who truly understand virality don't understand technology.
They understand human nature.
They know your weaknesses.
They know your curiosity.
They know your anxieties.
They know your anger.
They know exactly which headline makes you stop.
Exactly which content makes you reluctant to scroll past.
Exactly how to turn your time into their revenue.
That's the real attention economy.
AI is just a new production tool.
It was never the problem.
The problem has always been:
Whether we still have the capacity to choose.
Whether we can still tell what's worth watching.
Whether we're willing to spend our finite lives on things of genuine value.
AIGC is not the original sin.
Garbage content is.
And what's more dangerous than garbage content.
Is knowing it's garbage.
And still being unable to stop consuming it.
---
The greatest challenge of the future may not be that AI is too smart, but that humans are too easy to please. The real competition may not be between models, but between high-quality information and low-quality dopamine.
After middle age, old memories drift through the mind like scattered fragments, yet they refuse to coalesce into a complete picture. In the ocean of memory, every wavelet carries sweetness and bitterness, surging and swirling without order.
My ten years of primary and secondary school coincided exactly with the ten years of the Cultural Revolution. Our studies were neglected, our foundations weak. Out of more than 200 students across four classes in our grade, only seven or eight managed to leap through the dragon gate of the college entrance exam (including junior colleges). The rest slowly found employment in local factories, replacing retired parents or being recruited. In terms of educational advancement, our generation was sacrificed to the times.
The aftershocks of the Great Revolution's factional fighting persisted all the way to our primary school graduation. As soon as classroom windows were fitted with glass, they would be shattered; in winter we had to cover them with plastic film or pasted newspaper to block the wind. The brightest period came during what was called the "bourgeois line resurgence" (our first and second years of junior high), when good students like us were particularly valued. As a subject representative, entrusted by teachers, I would stand at the podium during morning self-study sessions to lead the whole class through exercises — this cultivated a confidence in handling public occasions.
Among our middle school classmates was a small group of "aristocrats" — children of military families sent down with the 127th Military Preparedness Hospital. Four students from the 127th came to our class, all girls, each more beautiful than the last. These "modern sisters" from the army compound stood in sharp contrast to us local kids. They spoke standard Mandarin, were dazzlingly clever, and carried themselves with grace. One of them, a fair-skinned girl called Z, had a gentle disposition and could answer teachers' questions with eloquence and poise — the envy of everyone. When Z raised her hand to answer the teacher's question about Ye Ting's poem "The Door Through Which One Enters and Exits Is Tightly Locked," she spoke with assurance and concluded: "We revolutionaries must have our own integrity. We would rather rot in prison than beg to 'crawl out through the dog's hole.'" Z's performance earned the fervent praise of our Shanghai-born female teacher, who appointed her Chinese language subject representative.
I remember in the first semester of ninth grade attending a tearful testimony by Basang, a Tibetan former serf who had been "liberated" (and later became vice-chairman of the Tibetan Autonomous Region Revolutionary Committee), denouncing the evils of Tibet's slave system before liberation. He described torture methods like flaying people alive and gouging out eyeballs — it made our hair stand on end. That was the most successful class education lesson of those years. Every student's heart ached with shared grief and righteous fury. Even the most mischievous troublemakers in class were moved, united in common hatred.
That year, our "learning from the peasants" program sent us to a mountain village to live and eat with farmers for two weeks. At night, boys and girls sat together on floor mats playing cards; since it was cold, everyone shared the same quilt, which felt especially thrilling. At school there were strict boundaries between boys and girls, but away from campus these rules relaxed. The hazy mutual curiosity and attraction between teenage boys and girls found its fullest expression during that time.
Every morning we rose early and braved the cold to wash our faces by the river — the water was bone-piercingly icy, our hands could barely open. I remember racing a male classmate to cut rice in the fields. We cut faster and faster until my sickle sliced off the tip of my little finger — so much blood, and it took two or three months to slowly grow back new flesh. The mountain nights were pitch black, you couldn't see your hand in front of your face. We often got lost, and with dogs barking everywhere, there was a real sense of terror — yet also great excitement. When I return to China and see today's children, burdened with heavy backpacks, pushed to their limits for the college entrance exam, I naturally think of how we spent our days — learning from the peasants, the workers, and the army, always roaming outdoors. I remember one evening when our intern teacher led us to a hillside near the chemical fertilizer plant for a field exercise (learning from the army). Under a bright moon and scattered stars, we used pine branches as camouflage, ambushing the enemy, confusing the enemy — looking back, it all feels impossibly romantic. There was also the long-distance march to the former New Fourth Army site at Maolin; we walked an entire day, as if the road would never end. I was slight and frail, nearly collapsing from exhaustion. Yet the ecstasy when we finally arrived remains vivid to this day. Later, for "learning from the workers," we entered a walking-tractor factory, where I learned lathe work under a beautiful female master in work clothes — I was utterly captivated by her gallant poise.
In the second semester of ninth grade, the political climate veered further left. Over the next two years of high school, academic classes existed in name only; learning from the peasants, workers, and army consumed ever more of our time. During high school, everyone had to learn a "revolutionary skill." I chose to learn how to operate a walking tractor. Many classmates chose the acupuncture skills of the "barefoot doctor." Day after day they'd hold a needle and jab it into their own wrists. The quick learners soon dared to cover their wrists and heads with silver needles — a terrifying sight.
Those were the days of promoting revolutionary "newborn things." Reports appeared of PLA medical personnel using traditional Chinese acupuncture to cure deaf-mute patients — miracles of iron trees blooming and the mute speaking. The first words most of the mute spoke were invariably "Long live Chairman Mao." In the documentary films of the time, you could see the touching scenes of the formerly mute, tears streaming down their faces, thanking their beloved People's Liberation Army. Soon came more happy tidings: acupuncture anesthesia had been successfully tested, and compared to conventional anesthesia, it had the advantage of no side effects. Radio stations began broadcasting revolutionary songs praising the tiny silver needle, and for a time the needle was touted as something almost miraculous.
Barefoot doctors, sunflowers blooming, putting down roots across the vast land… The thousand-year iron tree is about to bloom… the deaf-mute daughter is about to speak. The east wind brings warmth, red flags reflect the rosy clouds — Chairman Mao has sent his dear PLA soldiers to my home. A tiny silver needle in hand — spring thunder explodes in the silent world… Grateful for Chairman Mao's boundless kindness.
Amid this fervor, one of my classmates happened to need an appendectomy and it was performed entirely under acupuncture anesthesia. I will never forget the horrific account he later gave me of his suffering. He still believed acupuncture anesthesia might work, explaining that it probably varied from person to person — it simply didn't work for him. He said that at first, the silver needles in his ears distracted him from the surgery, but soon the pain in his abdomen became unbearable. He howled like a pig or sheep being slaughtered through the entire procedure; no amount of heart-rending screaming made any difference. The story made my hair stand on end.
— Written on October 12, 2006
The North Wind Blows
An old friend online recommended I watch the sent-down youth drama The North Wind Blows. Fragments of memories from the Great Revolution era drifted back — hazy and disjointed, yet among them were scenes of startling clarity and sounds of transcendent beauty.
I was about seven, during the fiercest period of factional fighting between the "Criticism United Headquarters" and the "Sweep the Black Line" factions in our county town. Gunshots were heard nightly. The two factions held separate territories, each with its own strongholds. At its worst, machine guns and even mortars were deployed. Beyond the command headquarters, each organization had departments for logistics, security, medical care, arts and culture, internal liaison, and foreign affairs, each performing its designated function — it was like a communist utopia in miniature, where the masses' ingenuity found full expression.
The Criticism faction's headquarters was set up inside the building materials factory on the east side of town. My impression is of concrete pipes everywhere — perfect for children playing hide-and-seek. The faction's commander-in-chief was Uncle P, our neighbor — tall and imposing, in military uniform, with a pistol holstered on each hip, radiating an intimidating authority. They said he was an expert marksman. And then one night, something went wrong. The story goes that he was out on night patrol when a dark figure appeared ahead. Commander P shouted, "Password!" The figure stammered something unintelligible. The password was wrong, and the commander, thinking it was an enemy scout sneaking up, fired a single shot and dropped him. Only later was it discovered that it was one of their own — young, inexperienced, and inarticulate, he became a wrongful death in the blink of an eye.
As factional skirmishes grew more frequent, casualties mounted and often couldn't receive timely medical care. The county hospital was in the Sweep faction's territory on the west side of town. To strengthen the Criticism faction's medical capacity, Commander P summoned my parents to help establish a mobile field operating theater. He dispatched operatives to secretly infiltrate our home and relocate our entire family to the Criticism faction's headquarters, where we were treated with the utmost courtesy. From then on, we began our life within this revolutionary commune.
My father's memoir records this:
"One evening, a 'plainclothes female fighter' from the Criticism faction burst through our back door straight into my inner room. From the sole of her shoe she extracted a slip of paper — a handwritten order from Commander P, demanding I rush immediately to the headquarters to 'save a life.' It was, of course, a 'heavenly command.' Heaven's command could not be defied; saving a life brooked no delay; and self-preservation left no alternative. I set out at once. But our home was deep in Sweep faction territory — how could hostile forces tolerate such an act? My journey that night was an adventure in itself. Fortunately, the moment I stepped outside, a plainclothes escort detail was there to guard against ambush, and we reached our destination at top speed."
I remember how bitterly cold that winter was — I still shiver thinking about it. One day, a few of us children were playing outside until our hands and feet were swollen and red from the cold. Both our parents were too busy working to look after us. Eventually an older sister led us into a small room with a charcoal brazier. I couldn't wait to huddle close to the fire, stretching out my red, swollen hands and feet. I never imagined that frozen limbs, suddenly exposed to warmth, would produce an unbearable, bone-deep itching — as if ten thousand arrows were piercing the heart. Later, when I read Tracks in the Snowy Forest, I felt a deep resonance. The book explained that frostbitten hands and feet must never be warmed up immediately. First you must slowly massage them with snow, wait until the blood circulates and the fingers can move again, and only then gradually increase the temperature.
As New Year approached, the Revolutionary Propaganda Team under the Arts and Culture Department rehearsed The White-Haired Girl in the assembly hall — my favorite place to be. The propaganda team was full of talent. A full-scale production, scene by scene, polished to perfection — it was the cultural feast of the revolutionary era, an inexhaustible delight. The young man playing Dachun was a family acquaintance, a strikingly handsome fellow. In the corner of the stage, a sister with a voice like a lark provided vocal accompaniment. She wore a military uniform — valiant yet alluring — and held a grass-green megaphone shaped like an army trumpet, singing "The North Wind Blows, the Snowflakes Drift." This song was already the most artistic and humane gem of the revolutionary era, and that female voice — pure beyond purity, drifting out from the megaphone — was so transcendentally beautiful it moved the soul. In my young heart, I always believed that such heavenly music could not possibly be a human voice; it must be the magic of that wondrous megaphone. For a long time afterwards, I regarded the megaphone as a box that could turn stone into gold. The image of that uniformed girl holding the army megaphone, accompanied by the melody of the north wind and drifting snowflakes, settled deep in my consciousness — the ultimate aesthetic experience. The "North Wind Blows" in the ocean of my heart is perfect, irreplaceable. Guo Lanying's original recording, distinctive as it is, feels rustic by comparison, not light or ethereal enough. I've sought out and compared many versions; only Zhu Fengbo's delicate voice comes close to my childhood memory.
My mother's death in middle age is the eternal ache in my heart. On Mother's Day 2005, I built an "Online Memorial Hall" for her, a place to anchor a grief that only deepens with time.
(Mom and me,1965)
She died of stomach cancer at 49. Those were the darkest days of my life — days I still cannot bear to look back upon. Mom had been overworked her entire life, which may well have contributed to her illness. By the time it was discovered, the cancer had already reached its late stage. She held on for three months, and then she was gone. Mother toiled all her life. After Grandmother passed away, the care of three children and all the housework fell on her shoulders alone. At work, the pressure was no lighter — as head of obstetrics and gynecology at the county hospital, she threw herself into consultations, surgeries, and family-planning campaigns until she was utterly spent. Just before she died, she passed the examination to earn the title of Attending Physician — among her medical-school classmates, she was one of the first to attain that intermediate rank.
Parents should never have to leave their children too soon. Even though I was already 24 when she passed, I simply could not accept this brutal reality. I was in graduate school in Beijing at the time; I wept in secret for an entire year. Parents are a child's sky. As a boy, I dreaded talking about death and it felt impossibly distant. Mother's passing taught me in a single instant how fragile life truly is. The day I learned of her cancer diagnosis was the darkest day of all: desperate, helpless — as if heaven and earth had changed color.
Mom was born in the fourth lunar month of 1935, into a farming family in a village about three kilometers from the historic town of Sanhe in Anhui — a remote spot at the junction of Shucheng, Feixi, and Lujiang counties. I remember visiting her hometown twice as a child with my parents, and what an ordeal it was. It felt like crossing a thousand mountains and rivers: by bus, across the Yangtze by ferry, by train, then a small steamer across Chao Lake to Sanhe, and finally another six li on foot to the village. That last stretch of walking felt as if the road would never end. Mom once told me that she walked that very road every day going back and forth to secondary school.
In winter, crossing Chao Lake on the steamer — there was no heating at all, no shelter, just hours adrift in the open. The wind howled through the lake passage; the cold bit into your bones. To this day, thinking of it makes me shiver. Winters back then were brutally cold, regularly dropping to minus seven or eight degrees Celsius; with the wind chill, it felt like minus twenty or thirty.
But once we reached the old home for the New Year, everything came alive. Uncles and aunts laid out a full welcome, with every kind of delicacy: salt-cured pork, salt-cured duck, pig tongue, pig ears. I remember one morning when there were five-spice tea eggs — so fragrant that after eating one I simply could not stop. I polished off eight in one go. I must have been only seven or eight. I ate myself sick, and for two whole days I could not touch food; the very sight of it made me retch.
My maternal grandparents had ten children — six boys and four girls. Mom was the seventh child, but the eldest daughter. Though they lived deep in the countryside, Grandfather and Grandmother were remarkably open-minded: all the boys stayed home to farm or run small businesses, yet they sent every single girl to school — no small feat in that era.
Grandmother was a woman of the old school, a master of household management and farming, who ran the family with a steady hand. Life was harmonious and thriving. Grandfather, a man of modest education and a merchant in Sanhe, came home on weekends to direct the farm work. They were the archetype of a hardworking peasant family maintaining a frugal, modest comfort. Through careful planning and tight saving, Grandfather purchased a plot of land just before Liberation (1949). The whole family labored from sunrise to sunset in the fields, dreaming of a modestly prosperous life. Two years later, the land reform labeled them "landlords," and the entire family lived under that shadow for over thirty years, enduring widespread social discrimination.
As a child, Mom attended a village private school for a few years, taught by an elderly distant cousin in the Confucian classical tradition. In 1950, she gained admission to Sanhe Secondary School. She walked to school and back every day with her cousin, covering fourteen li round-trip through wind, rain, frost, and snow — leaving before dawn, returning after dark. Lunch was dry rations she carried. Life was one of poverty and deprivation. Fortunately, Grandmother could make and mend shoes, and there was just enough food at home to stave off hunger — every other desire was surrendered.
(Mom was 20 years old)
She had to drop out for a year due to poverty, struggling all the way, but in 1954 she finally graduated. That year, catastrophic flooding struck her hometown, turning it into a vast sea. It was Fifth Uncle who poled a small wooden boat to send Mom (his sister) to the provincial capital to sit for exams and attend school. She enrolled in Hefei Medical School — a specialized secondary program (only seven from her school were admitted, and Mom was the only girl). It was the pivotal step of her life: food and lodging, all free of charge. In September 1957, upon graduation, she was assigned to Nanling County Hospital — the first physician ever appointed there directly from medical school. At last, Mom had walked out of that remote village to become a state cadre with her own income, meager as it was; she could finally support her own parents.
Mom bore three of us, each two years apart. According to Father, when she was six months pregnant with my elder brother, she and Father were dispatched by the hospital on a mobile medical tour through the countryside. She waddled along the ridges between rice paddies, her belly heavy, treating peasants for every ailment. The grueling work, brutal conditions, and poor nutrition caused her to go into labor prematurely — my brother was born on those very fields, nearly three months early. They say when he was born, his eyes were shut tight and he made no cry at all. Were it not for the medical team being right there, he could never have survived under those conditions.
By the time Mom had me, the "Three Years of Hardship" had begun — famine everywhere, corpses on the roadsides. Grandfather, Grandmother, and an aunt all starved to death in the old home villages during that time. (Eldest Uncle also fled the famine-stricken village and vanished without a trace.) Mom was desperately weak after giving birth. The hospital leadership, taking pity, specially approved "half a pig" for the new mother — that half pig, dripping brine, weighed just over two jin.
(Family portrait,1978)
In her career, Mom was a force of nature. She performed every kind of obstetric and gynecological surgery with mastery. She was the first in the entire prefecture to pioneer extraperitoneal cesarean section. She could complete a tubal ligation in an average of ten minutes. On family-planning campaigns to rural villages, she routinely performed seventy to eighty ligations a day, without a single error. She visited every production brigade in the county, relieving countless women of the pain of disease. Her extraordinary medical skill drew a constant stream of patients. Later, as head of both clinical and administrative operations in OB/GYN, she displayed remarkable leadership. Her warmth, competence, and tireless dedication earned her the deep respect of her colleagues and widespread prestige. In 1974, she was one of only three in the entire county promoted to the rank of Physician (one of the other two was my father). In 1981, she was one of only seven in the county promoted to Attending Physician (again, Father was another — all technical title evaluations in China had been suspended before then). Three days before her death, Mom and her department were simultaneously awarded Provincial Advanced Individual and Advanced Collective honors for family-planning work.
Mom was plagued by illness her entire life — gallstones and filariasis flared up constantly, tormenting her. She underwent two operations for gallstones alone. In October 1983, she began experiencing heartburn and vomiting, but she assumed it was just another gallstone episode. With the year-end family-planning drive in full swing, there was no time for a checkup; she simply gritted her teeth through the pain and worked around the clock. The relentless pace finally broke her on January 4, 1984. After completing an emergency surgery to stop a rural woman's postpartum hemorrhage, Mom collapsed beside the operating table — the pain so severe she could no longer stand.
She went down and could never rise again. Tests revealed late-stage stomach cancer. After she was bedridden, we found a slip of paper in the pocket of her coat, on which she had recorded her workload during those agonizing months. Reading it, we could not hold back our tears. Suffering from a fatal disease, enduring searing pain, Mom had completed a volume of work that would stagger any healthy person. The slip recorded the following:
January to November 1983, inpatient OB/GYN caseload — Hospitalizations: 1,829. Deliveries: 692. Difficult deliveries: 243. Home visits: 38. Emergency rescues: 108. Deaths: 7. Abortions: 799. Late-term abortions: 1,164. Tubal ligations: 466. IUD insertions: 144. IUD removals: 140. (The above excludes ligations performed on trips to communes. The department had only three doctors at the time.)
On March 29, Mom's condition suddenly worsened, and she went into shock. Father sent an urgent telegram to me in Beijing — I had just returned from home — telling me to come back immediately. I caught an express train and arrived home on the afternoon of the 31st. After 48 hours in a coma, when Mom saw me, her eyes miraculously opened, and her pupils began to follow my movements. During that time, her blood pressure and urination even returned to normal. At 9:30 that evening, Mom finally stopped breathing. She had left us forever — left the home she loved, left the work she cherished.
Later, people said that Mom had held on for two extra days just to see me one last time. In truth, on March 29, she already sensed the end was near. She refused to sleep, saying over and over to the family: "I must not sleep. I must not sleep. Once I sleep, I won't wake up again. I won't see you again."
Those words proved prophetic. She had saved countless women from the brink of death, but she could not save herself.
Following her dying wish, we buried Mom beside her mother our Grandma. Mom never had a single day of ease — her entire life was poverty, overwork, and a battle against illness. She struggled so hard to raise us children, and when at last we were grown, she could no longer receive our filial devotion.
Mom suffered too much. She worked herself to death.
At her memorial service, the three of us children wrote this elegy for our mother:
Busy at work, busy at home — busy for thirty years. Hardship for Husband, hardship for children — hardship for a lifetime.
This was the true portrait of Mom's life.
Thirty years forward, a visit to the old home in 2005. The Nanling hospital compound was the place where Mom and Dad raised us, toiling day and night. The old neighbors were still there; the ginkgo tree by our door was still in full leaf. The old house we had lived in, through thirty years of wind and rain, still stood. How much heart and soul Mom poured into that home. I remember, when she was gravely ill in the hospital, she told me she didn't want to stay in the ward — she wanted to go home. That wish could never be fulfilled in her lifetime. Only on the day of her funeral did we escort Mom's urn to pause one last time at the old home, to comfort her spirit in heaven. The back room of the old house was my brother's and my childhood den — on winter mornings, Mom would come early to light a charcoal brazier and warm our clothes before we got up. The old well in the yard bore witness to Mom hauling water day after day; the little bridge recorded her toil washing clothes. Wandering through the old places, searching for Mom's footprints and our childhood memories, I found myself speechless, choked with tears.
Recently, a fellow PhD classmate commented on my two-minute video from yesterday.
He said: "If I had gritted my teeth back then, given up on that humanities PhD, and thrown myself into the C++ wave of the 90s to become a programmer in Silicon Valley — then today, I would probably be writing a different Liwei 2min: My biggest regret is being led astray by C++, never finishing my PhD."
I replied: "yeh u know." Because I know it too well.
Others thought it was a joke. It wasn't. It was two old-timers, looking at each other across thirty-plus years of life, and then laughing at the same time. Because we both knew. He was talking about himself. And the 'what if' he described — that was me.
Years ago, he left our shared advisor and headed south to Silicon Valley. He went through various startups and big tech companies. Today he still works at a major company, responsible for a product used by hundreds of millions. Riding the wind all the way.
I stayed on the other path. Chasing that 'damn' humanities PhD, I missed the early excitement of the 90s, but caught the dot-com bubble at the turn of the century.
Two different life trajectories. Converging at last in Silicon Valley.
What's interesting is — at this age, we've begun to understand and tease each other more. Perhaps this is the most wondrous thing about human nature. What you have slowly becomes taken for granted. What you don't have keeps appreciating in memory.
When young, we thought life was a multiple-choice question. Later we discovered — life is actually a question of what you give up. Every time you choose or are chosen for one answer, you simultaneously give up countless alternatives.
And those abandoned or rejected answers — they'll keep coming back to knock on your door, years later. Telling you: maybe this was the right one after all.
The truth? Nobody knows. Because life's greatest magic trick is this: real life can only be lived once. But parallel universes can be fantasized ten thousand times.
Reality can never beat fantasy. Because fantasy doesn't have to pay the mortgage. Doesn't have to work late. Doesn't have to face the boss. Doesn't have to face middle-age weight gain. Fantasy forever stays frozen on the most beautiful frame.
So many regrets — it's not really that we chose wrong. It's that we discovered: perhaps, somewhere in the unseen, there truly is fate.
Lately I've been thinking about something else. If our generation's regret is being diverted by the era, chosen by the era — then the younger generation's predicament is even more bewildering and challenging: they are being leveled by the era.
When all doors are open, when all knowledge and skills are at your fingertips, when both humanities and sciences face the same shrinking job market, when new graduate hires become fewer and fewer — the new generation faces not career choices and planning. They face no choices, and no way to plan.
This confusion and helplessness, this inability to find one's place or purpose, is becoming the prevailing sentiment across universities. This is not something a platitude about 'embracing AI' can soothe.
For decades, knowledge was a scarce resource. Whoever possessed knowledge held an advantage. A book. A degree. A skill. Any of these could change your fate.
But after AI arrived, knowledge became like tap water. What once required a trip to the library can now be obtained with a single sentence. Designs that once took a decade of experience can now be generated in minutes.
Is knowledge still useful? Of course it is. But possessing knowledge no longer matters — because everyone can possess it. Just like electricity is essential, but owning a power plant no longer matters — because every household has an outlet.
This is a strange era. Knowledge is no longer scarce. Words are no longer scarce. Even intelligence itself is beginning to lose its scarcity.
What remains in the end — is not knowledge. Not degrees. Not titles. But lived experience.
AI knows what heartbreak is. But it has never waited for that call that never came. AI knows what aging is. But it has never watched its parents grow old day by day. AI knows what regret is. But it has never, at sixty, suddenly remembered a life it didn't choose forty years ago.
Knowledge belongs to machines. Experience belongs to humans. Efficiency belongs to machines. Feeling belongs to humans. Perhaps the most precious thing in the future — is not what you know, but what you have truly lived.
So I've come to feel, more and more — life's greatest regret is neither being diverted too early by the era, nor being leveled too late by the era. It is, after having lived a singular, unrepeatable life, still wanting to live on behalf of another self that never existed.
That guy — let him stay in the parallel universe. As for us — let's keep playing this round to the end.
But most crucially, and what worries me more: in this era of breakneck technological change, how do we build social welfare systems that ensure AI's dividends are shared by all? How do we ensure the next generation no longer faces the challenge of countless doors wide open, yet no path to walk through?
Thesis: Many people's destinies are determined not by ability, but by the first sorting table their era hands them.
Looking back on my life, I have two deep regrets. By the time large language models arrived to help compensate, the energy and opportunity for frontline battle had already passed. A sigh.
The first regret: Among the Class of '77, many of the brightest were "hijacked" by the window of foreign languages. English was the key to the world — but the ticket was so precious that many spent their entire lives stuck at the ticket gate. I was drafted into the humanities, not because I didn't apply for science. The era made the choice for me.
The second regret: the PhD phase. I had one foot in the door of coding and engineering. OOP and C++ were all the rage, I was hooked. But the thesis and degree pulled me away. I became a self-made manager — VP, Chief, whatever — knowing a little about everything but never again a frontline engineer.
This isn't simple personal regret. It's a sample of an era: when windows of choice are small, a person is shaped not by their interests, but by the shortages of their time.
Today's young people have all the tools. AI, programming, English, expression — everything can be re-learned. The era no longer opens just one door. The only question: with all the doors open, do you dare walk back in?
I've had a very strong feeling lately: I increasingly don't want to learn software anymore.
It's not just laziness — though I am lazy. More fundamentally, the old software logic was: you adapt to me. Where the buttons are, how the menus hide, how the workflows twist — you have to learn it all. If you can't learn, you're stupid; if you can't remember, you're old. Software features multiply, menus grow ever more complex — 90% of which you'll never use in your lifetime — but vendors can't restrain themselves from expanding coverage. This is a kind of "collective menu debt," yet every individual who only needs a fraction of those features must still repay it, must learn to penetrate the complex UI to find their own subset.
But now that AI agents have arrived, this logic can be reversed. A friend who develops agent platforms advocates exactly this, saying conditions are ripe to build software just for yourself.
In fact, I've recently been using Codex to build a tool specifically targeting my own pain points from years of digital life: an automated system that collects anything I'm interested in, auto-classifies, processes, structures, and archives it, ready for retrieval and summarization at any time. I don't need to learn it, because it grew out of my own habits. The ideal state isn't me adapting to generic software — it's custom software adapting to me.
This kind of software has one enormous advantage: it has no market, therefore no competition. It serves just one person. It doesn't need to please investors, chase DAU, pursue growth, or design "user retention." It just needs to make my life smoother, help me lose fewer things, help me think more clearly, and automate the manual workflows I used to do. That's enough.
Which brings me to a regret.
Looking back on my life, my deepest source of inadequacy is that I didn't study science or engineering as an undergraduate — I studied humanities instead. (It really wasn't my fault — I applied for science and engineering, but the first cohort of post-Cultural Revolution college entrants in 1977 barely knew English, so English wasn't a required subject but could be taken as a bonus. I thought the bonus English test would help my application, but the foreign language department, desperate for English-capable students, forcibly pulled me in. No negotiation.) But your first degree is, in some sense, your underlying operating system. If your foundation isn't solid enough, you can patch it later, upgrade it, install plugins — but that gap in fundamentals will always be there. This has been my Achilles' heel for decades.
Fortunately, large model agents have arrived. My requirement for myself is now simple: since I didn't study enough before, let the tools fill the gap. Let coding agents become my private science-and-engineering assistant and personal secretary. They don't replace my judgment, but they compensate for my weaknesses. I don't need a market-facing software matrix. I just need an increasingly handy, increasingly understanding toolbox.
Efficiency first, fit first. If it can help me retain what's in my mind and bridge what I didn't learn before, that's enough. This "personal dynamic knowledge base" agent is no simple project, but it's nearly operational. Looking at it now, building your own wheels for your own use isn't actually that hard.
In 2007, while on my way back to visit my alma mater in Vancouver, I received word that my father had suffered a sudden major hemorrhage and was hospitalized for emergency surgery. I was on the other side of the world — helpless, unable to be at his bedside, unable to face the storm together with him. I was consumed by guilt.
My father was the pillar of our family, a man who had weathered every storm life threw at him with remarkable grace. He worked tirelessly his entire life, never truly retiring, sustained by his robust constitution and unshakeable optimism.
Dad always looked remarkably young for his age. I remember when I was starting university, he insisted on escorting me all the way to Anqing. We were the Class of '77, the first cohort admitted after the Cultural Revolution — society had accumulated nearly a decade of aspiring college entrants, so the incoming students spanned a wide age range, including the "old high school graduates" from before the turmoil, some 10+ years my senior. Dad accompanied me to the campus clinic for the new-student physical examination. The nurse pointed at Dad and said to me: "One at a time — wait until he's done, then it's your turn." She had mistaken Dad for a freshman, my peer LOL. That was how youthful and spirited he appeared.
Four years later when I graduated, Dad still couldn't rest easy and chose to come to Anqing to pick me up. He stayed on campus for a week, spending his idle hours playing Chinese chess with my "subordinate" — my lower bunkmate Lao Ding, who always called me his "superior." This bunkmate was from the pre-Cultural Revolution cohort, born in 1949, the same year as New China was born. Watching from the sidelines, Dad — who had graduated in the 1950s — truly seemed like one of our classmates, as if he were simply another member of our generation.
With Dad taking care of everything, I didn't have to worry about a thing. He helped pack my luggage, and after bidding farewell to our classmates and teachers one by one, we said goodbye to Anqing, crossing the Yangtze to catch a long-distance bus home. The ferry was delayed, and a quick calculation told us we were cutting it dangerously close. Miss this bus, and we'd have to return to Anqing for another day. Without a word, Dad hoisted every piece of luggage onto his shoulders the moment we stepped off the ferry and sprinted toward the bus station, half a mile away — charging ahead like a young man. And there I was, a strapping 21-year-old, empty-handed, gasping for breath, left far behind by Dad.
Dad never had the chance to attend a full medical college — he studied at a vocational medical school — yet the heights he reached over four decades of surgical practice are achievements few can rival. His secret? Boldness paired with meticulous care, relentless practice, and an unyielding devotion to study. I remember as children, whenever we came home to find our parents gone, we would always head to the operating room. Dad worked over ten hours a day, and at home he would immediately bury himself in medical texts — I rarely saw him rest. Over the years his reputation spread far and wide, and patients came seeking his care in an unending stream. Even when the relatives of the surgery department head at the next higher level of hospital needed an operation, they would come looking for Dad — only his "knife" gave them true peace of mind.
Doctors were respected, but they were also poor. In the Mao era, wages and prices remained frozen for decades. Dad earned 46 yuan a month, Mother 43 — a family income of 89 yuan supporting six people (including my maternal grandmother), enough for subsistence but little else. Life was hard, but we never thought of it that way. To be honest, we never felt hardship — even though at every meal, a household of that size would have just one or two small dishes to share. Everyone was poor, after all, and plenty of people couldn't even get enough rice to eat, surviving on gruel or dried sweet potato. Father's real dilemma was: where could he find the money to buy books? Those hefty medical tomes — Surgery, Orthopedics, and the like — were frightfully expensive, yet absolutely essential for his work. Who could have guessed that many of those books were purchased with blood Dad sold in secret? Three hundred cc of plasma at a time, at 30 yuan per draw — money that ordinarily would have taken six months to scrape together. One time Mom found out and was furious. Dad was so lean; she feared selling blood would ruin his health. But Dad would always say: the human body has its own hematopoietic mechanism — losing a little blood does no harm. And yet, what other option was there? No matter how refined his surgical skill, it couldn't be converted into cash. I remember that for a missed-meal allowance during surgery, the subsidy was just twenty cents — or sometimes they would provide a free bowl of shredded-pork noodle soup instead, which our parents couldn't bear to eat themselves and would bring home for us children.
Every era has its own way of living. Still, the thought of a celebrated physician, a man who pursued surgical excellence with unrelenting dedication, having no means to own medical books except by selling his own blood — such a thing, in all of history and across all nations, could probably only have happened under Mao. But I cannot say Father missed his era. Measured by professional fulfillment and spiritual satisfaction, that particular time and its particular circumstances gave Dad a rare canvas on which to work. A county-level hospital was like a blank sheet of paper, facing an endless stream of rural patients — people who had always lacked access to medical care and who possessed no financial means. Most such patients, if a county hospital could not treat them, would simply be left to live or die at heaven's mercy. Dad was one of the hospital's founders; he had full autonomy, and as much energy as he could muster translated directly into work — for decades, he performed several surgeries almost every day. I once knew a young rural doctor who, unable to find an outlet for his abilities, grew weary of medicine and switched to studying English education. Yet when the topic of Father's surgical skill came up, he was full of admiration: "Do you know? Your father is the most remarkable surgeon in the world. He can perform major operations that many provincial-level hospitals haven't even begun to offer." He explained some cases to me, which I didn't fully understand, but I knew in my heart that Dad was forever surpassing himself, climbing toward ever more complex surgeries. Later, when I asked Dad about it — which difficult operations he still wanted to attempt but couldn't — he said he had basically done everything within reach, but certain procedures, like microsurgery and limb reattachment, required equipment far beyond what a county hospital could provide. That, he could only regret.
Unlike the old bureaucratic establishments where "without money, don't bother entering," back then even impoverished farmers could afford surgery at the grassroots hospitals. As I recall, minor operations (like appendectomies) cost less than 10 yuan, mid-level operations (gastrectomies and the like) a few dozen yuan, and major procedures (heart, brain) just over a hundred. Of course, scraping together even that sum wasn't easy, but most families managed — by tightening their belts or selling the family pots and pans. The truly destitute could apply for assistance at the civil affairs bureau. This aspect of the pre-reform era deserves recognition. The fundamental reason for such low fees, naturally, was rock-bottom costs: doctors were state cadres on fixed salaries, with no additional expenditures.
Speaking of surgery — my own body bears one of Father's "masterpieces." When I was about ten years old, one morning shortly after breakfast, my stomach suddenly began hurting intensely. Dad came to examine me, pressed on my lower right abdomen, and asked if it hurt. "A lot," I said. He suddenly withdrew his hand, and a searing pain shot through me — tears streamed down my face. Father told me this was called "rebound tenderness," the classic sign of acute appendicitis, and said to prepare for surgery. Before noon he was helping me into the operating room. Having grown up watching operations, I knew an appendectomy was minor surgery and I wasn't afraid at all. But when it actually came time to get on the operating table, I absolutely tried to refuse. I mainly suspected a misdiagnosis — that I'd be cut open for nothing. I'd been perfectly fine that morning, had drunk half a bowl of congee, and I often had stomachaches anyway. This time, without any blood tests or other examinations — just a touch of my abdomen — and that was the diagnosis? The outcome, of course, proved my worries unfounded: the removed appendix was swollen like a little carrot, and because the surgery had been timely, it hadn't yet suppurated. Many surgeons refuse to operate on their own family members, fearing they'll be too tense. But Dad didn't trust anyone else and naturally performed the surgery himself, with Mom assisting at his side.
Normally, using conventional spinal or epidural anesthesia would have allowed a relaxed, unhurried procedure, but Dad, wanting to minimize post-operative reactions, insisted on using only local anesthesia. I could clearly perceive every step of the operation. Most appendectomy incisions are several inches long, but Dad made an opening barely an inch or two on my abdomen — so small that after closing, it required only two stitches, just enough to admit a single finger. What's more, unlike most incisions, Dad used a transverse cut, which added considerably to the surgical difficulty. Dad explained that a transverse cut follows the natural grain of the abdominal muscles, so the scar would be barely visible after healing (he was right — I've seen the scars from vertical incisions, which remain thick, red, and prominent long after healing, sitting there quite unsightly). The operation was a complete success: I went home the same day, and by the next day I could get out of bed and walk about gently. That said, there was a stretch during the surgery that truly hurt — I cried and wailed, which put enormous pressure on Dad. That was when he inserted his finger to try to capture the inflamed appendix. Hardly my fault — an inflamed appendix hurts even when you don't touch it. Fortunately, the pain didn't last long before Dad seized hold of it and quickly administered another dose of anesthetic. Later, Dad admitted that despite all his care, the incision point was slightly off, causing me more suffering than necessary. Being slightly off was no big deal; he could have simply enlarged the incision to compensate. But Dad insisted on the smallest possible opening, unwilling to leave me with a permanent large scar. I told this story to my daughter, and when she found my nearly invisible scar, she exclaimed: "Grandpa did a terrific job!" From then on, whenever her stomach hurt, she would cry out in alarm, suspecting appendicitis, and wouldn't rest until I checked that there was no "rebound tenderness." She even said that if she ever got appendicitis, she'd fly back to find her grandpa — she didn't trust American doctors: how many operations could they possibly have done? Grandpa had performed tens of thousands over his lifetime!
(Family Portrait, 1962)
Dad frequently made house calls to rural clinics and farmers' homes (as an obstetrics department head, Mom did the same). When an emergency demanded surgery, no matter the conditions, he would proceed. No electricity? Gather some flashlights, improvise, set up the operating table — saving the life came first. During the factional fighting of the Cultural Revolution in 1967, the two factions held their separate domains, with frequent clashes and occasional face-to-face combat. In the early days of street brawling, the weapons were still steel bars and cleavers; later they escalated to real firearms. The hospital was semi-paralyzed, located in territory controlled by the "Sweep Faction" — a radical mass organization calling itself the "Sweep the Black Line" group. Ideologically, Dad and Mom probably belonged to the moderate loyalist camp ("loyalist" meaning they opposed the purge of veteran cadres) and leaned toward the "Critique Faction" (the "Critique Alliance Group"), which had a loyalist tilt — though they took no part in its ideological or political activities. The Critique Faction's commander-in-chief had once been our neighbor, a strapping man. I remember that after assuming command, he wore a broad belt around his waist with a Mauser pistol holstered at his side — an image of martial splendor. It was this commander who quietly sent men to bring our entire family into the faction's headquarters; they urgently needed skilled medical hands to treat the wounded from the fighting. And so Dad set up a wartime surgical theatre — not unlike Dr. Norman Bethune's field hospital — and saved many lives.
In peacetime, the county hospital's white ambulance carried Dad, Mom, and our childhood to every corner of the county. When destinations were close, they would walk or bicycle to their patients. I remember when I was six or seven, our entire family moved to Hewan, a remote rural town, to support the village hospital for a year. Dad often bicycled out on night calls, sometimes taking me along. The sky was always so dark, and the route invariably passed through one or two cemeteries, the cold wind whistling overhead. Entering a village, we would hear dogs barking in waves. I would hide in Dad's arms on the front seat, often too frightened to open my eyes. After the treatment, beneath the dim glow of an oil lamp, the host would always cook two eggs in brown-sugar water and serve them steaming hot as a token of gratitude. Then, lighting the way with a flashlight, they would see us off — and I would be sound asleep long before we got home.
I was never very robust as a child, but at home I was sensible beyond my years — I would often volunteer to sweep the floor and wash the dishes. At school my grades were good, and I was the delight of my parents' hearts. At every major step of my life, from being sent down to the countryside to the oral examination for college entrance, from university registration to graduation and then graduate school interviews — until I was married and had a family of my own — Dad was always there, escorting and protecting me. Now that Dad had fallen ill, I was in a foreign land, unable even to bring him a cup of tea or water, unable to fulfill the most basic filial duties. Whenever I dwell on this, grief wells up from deep within.
But misfortune can turn into blessing. Dad's sudden illness led to early diagnosis and timely treatment, which was in his favor. What gives me comfort is that Dad received the best possible medical care, and most of the family was at his side looking after him. He recovered swiftly after the surgery, and the strength in his voice reassured everyone.
Dad is now semi-retired at home, still living modestly. He shows none of the signs of a man in his eighties — his life is orderly, his health robust, and he retains an eager curiosity for new things, handling a computer more adeptly than many young people. Beyond effortlessly consulting English-language medical literature, he has built up an English vocabulary over the years through extensive reading that rivals my own, even though I'm a "trained linguist." That his children have each found their own successful path is his greatest comfort. And the little stories of his grandchildren's growing up bring him abundant joy.
说到手术,我的身上也留有爸爸的"杰作"。我十岁左右,有一天早饭不久,突然肚子疼得厉害。爸爸过来检查,按住右小腹,问疼不疼,我说,"很疼"。他突然把手抽回,我一阵剧痛,眼泪都出来了。爸爸告诉我,这叫"反跳痛",是急性阑尾炎的典型症状,说准备开刀,不到中午就扶我进了手术室。从小看惯了开刀,知道阑尾摘除是小手术,我一点也不怕。可真要上手术台了,我却怎么也不愿意。主要是怀疑弄错了,白挨刀了。早上还是好好的,喝了半碗粥,我平时也常闹肚子疼,这次,也没有验血或做其他检查,摸摸小腹,就这样确诊了?结果自然是我多虑,割下的阑尾肿得象棵小胡萝卜头,因为手术及时,还没有化脓。不少外科大夫不给自己亲人开刀,怕太紧张。可爸爸不放心别人,理所当然亲自动手,妈妈在旁做助手。本来,如果使用常规腰麻或硬膜外麻醉,也可从容不迫,但爸爸为了术后反应小,坚持只使用局部麻醉,我能清楚知道手术的每一个过程。多数同类手术刀口总有几寸,可爸爸只给我开了一条一两公分的小口子(关腹后只缝了两针),刚够伸进一个手指。这还不算,跟多数刀口不同,爸爸用的是横切,这更增添了手术难度。爸爸说,横切符合人的腹部的自然纹路,愈合后刀疤不显(确实如此,我见过其他竖切手术的刀痕,愈合后很久仍然粗粗红红地立在那儿,很难看)。这次手术很成功,我当天回家,第二天就可下床轻微走动。不过,手术中有一阵确实很疼,我大哭大叫,给爸爸增加了很大压力。那是爸爸伸进手指试图捞取发炎的阑尾时。也不怪,阑尾发炎,不碰它尚且疼痛得很呢。好在疼得时间不长,爸爸就逮住了它,赶紧补上一针麻醉。后来,爸爸说,尽管费了心思,下刀之处还是略偏了点,使我多受了一些苦。偏一点没关系,如果把刀口加大点,也好办,可爸爸坚持尽可能小的口子,不愿意让我落下一个永久的大疤痕。我把这个故事讲给女儿听,她找到我的几乎看不见了的刀口,惊叹:"Grandpa did a terrific job!"。从此,她肚子一疼,就大叫,怀疑得了阑尾炎,非让我检查发现没有"反跳痛"才安心。还说,她要是得了阑尾炎,就飞回去找爷爷,可信不过美国的大夫:他们才开过几个刀,我爷爷一辈子开刀何止成千上万!
After writing this Token series for so long, I want to tackle one final, unavoidable question.
What exactly is the relationship between Token and intelligence?
Many readers wrote in after the earlier installments:
If AI training runs on Tokens, inference runs on Tokens, and Agents are voraciously consuming Tokens — doesn't that mean Token equals intelligence?
The answer is both yes and no.
Let's start with no. Because intelligence is clearly more than just Token.
Just as a person's thoughts are not equal to the words they speak. A scientist's great discovery is not equal to the few dozen pages of the published paper. Einstein's theory of relativity is not equal to the tens of thousands of words in that paper. Words are merely carriers of thought. Similarly, Token is merely a carrier of intelligence — whether in the form of text, voice, or video.
But if we conclude from this that Token is unimportant, that would also be wrong.
Because we can never see thought itself. We can only see the traces thought leaves behind. A sentence, an article, a piece of code, a design draft, a video. The same is true of large models. We can't see the billions of calculations inside the neural network. We can't see the weight matrices. We can't see Attention. The only thing we can perceive is Token.
We cannot directly trade intelligence, but we can trade Token. We cannot directly measure intelligence, but we can measure Token.
At this point, a more fitting analogy suddenly occurred to me.
Money.
Dollars, yuan, gold — none of them equals wealth. True wealth exists in land, factories, goods, services, technology, and labor. But why can't modern society function without money? Because money provides a unified form of value expression — what Marx called a commodity equivalent — that can be measured, circulated, traded, and accumulated.
Today's Token is playing a similar role. It is not intelligence itself, but it increasingly resembles the currency of intelligence.
Over the past few years, the entire AI industry has essentially been revolving around Token. During training, people discuss how many trillions of Tokens were used. During deployment, they discuss how many Tokens per second can be processed. When purchasing APIs, they discuss how much input Tokens cost and how much output Tokens cost. When Agents run, they discuss how many Tokens were consumed for input and output. Even competition between nations is increasingly manifesting as: who can produce high-quality Tokens more cheaply.
Thus Token has gradually evolved from a technical term into an economic concept.
Of course, there is one point that is particularly easy to confuse. The same Token plays entirely different roles during training versus inference.
During training, Token is more like ore. Massive amounts of data are shredded, compressed, refined. Countless Tokens are smelted into model weights during training. The process resembles steelmaking, oil refining, turning ore into steel.
Inference is completely different. The model is already trained. What users purchase is not the training process but the output results. At this stage, Token is more like electricity, like money — more like an intelligence product delivered to the user. You ask AI to write articles, write code, make presentations. What you receive is Token. Even video, images, and voice will ultimately be priced through Token.
So from the user's perspective, intelligence almost always appears wrapped in the cloak of Token. This is why many people get the feeling that Token equals intelligence. It's actually as natural as associating money with wealth — because money and wealth have always been two sides of the same coin. Token and intelligence are increasingly becoming two sides of the same coin.
But history also tells us: don't mistake money for wealth itself. Similarly, don't mistake Token for intelligence itself.
To summarize. What is Token? It is the standard unit of measurement after data is industrialized and fragmented. Why tokenize? Because only by breaking things down can we count them; only by counting can we train. Why is AI consuming ever more electricity? Because the entire industry is producing and consuming Token at massive scale. Why are Agents exploding? Because machines have begun producing, exchanging, and consuming Token themselves. Why is Token getting cheaper? Because industrialization is underway. Why are nations competing over Token? Because Token is becoming a new means of production.
Ultimately, Token is to intelligence what money is to wealth. It is not wealth itself, but it is wealth's most important form of expression. It is not intelligence itself, but it is the way intelligence is produced, circulated, traded, and perceived. The internet era flowed with information. The AI era flows with Token. And what flows behind Token may well be the thing humanity has begun to produce industrially for the first time: intelligence.
Nearly half a century has passed since my grandmother left us, yet her gentle, kindly face still often comes to mind.
My parents, both doctors, were far too busy with their work. So when their first child was born, Grandmother came to help — and from that day forward, she looked after us three children for fifteen years, until the day she died. I'm told my elder brother was a restless infant. Grandma had to rock his cradle without a moment's pause, humming lullabies the whole time. If she nodded off for even a second and the rope to the cradle went slack, he would wail at the top of his lungs. She later said that child wore her out so thoroughly that she was still anxious when I arrived two years later. But to her surprise, I turned out to be a remarkably quiet baby — I never cried at all. The trouble with me was that I was pitifully frail, constantly falling ill. Every sickness brought vomiting, often with high fever. I had night blindness too, and worst of all, a rectal prolapse that made every trip to the toilet agonizing and messy. Grandma would have to carefully push the prolapse back in each time. She had given birth to ten children in her lifetime, more than half of whom had died young. Looking at me, she worried constantly that I wouldn't survive either. Fortunately, being born into a doctor's family meant I received prompt treatment whenever I fell ill, and with Grandma's devoted care, I slowly made it through my sickly childhood. A child blessed with a grandmother's care is a fortunate child. Grandma kept our home immaculate and orderly, with hot meals always ready. Our childhood was carefree, and our parents, freed from domestic worries, could pour themselves completely into their work, day and night.
Grandma was a woman of the old order — she had bound feet, had never been to school, spoke little, and possessed a gentle disposition. I never once saw her lose her temper. For over a decade, her life followed the same steady rhythm: she never left the house, diligent and unassuming, asking nothing of the world, and all our neighbors sang her praises. Every morning before dawn, Grandma would rise, wash, and dress herself with care — always neat and tidy as she began the day's work. Looking after the children, cooking, never a moment's rest. In her rare spare time, she would sit by the door and stitch shoe soles. She would paste together scraps of cloth, dry them in the sun, then sew them with endless stitches into firm, solid soles — every cloth shoe our whole family wore was made by her hands. After she passed, she left behind a large box of soles that we continued to wear for years, until eventually we began buying plastic-soled shoes instead.
Each month, my parents gave Grandma three yuan as pocket money for us children. She was tight-fisted with it — she had to make it last all three children to the end of the month. I remember I could coax two or three fen out of her each day, and I would often go to the street vendor to buy a small steaming hot sweet potato, then come home and share it with my little sister. I told this story to my daughter, and she loved it — she brings it up now and then with a laugh: "When you were my age, sweet potato was only two cents a piece, and you always asked Granny — that's my Great Granny — for two cents to buy one and share with my auntie GuGu, but never with my uncle DaBai."
I remember during the mass travel of the Cultural Revolution, my father and mother joined the tide and went to Shanghai and Hangzhou for over a week. When transportation broke down and they couldn't get home on time, Grandma was left alone with the three of us. Every day the loudspeakers in the street blared out chaotic news — it felt like the world was falling apart. In those days there was no way to get word of travelers' whereabouts, and the whole household waited with straining eyes. Grandma grew desperate and began to weep. When we children saw her crying, we all cried too — young and old alike, terrified of losing our anchor, weeping together in a heap. Even the neighbors wept with us.
The second year of the Cultural Revolution, because Grandma was classified as a "landlord" by origin, the hospital's Rebel faction ordered her to stand in the street every day, hanging a sign around her neck that read "Counter-Revolutionary Landlord Woman." Poor Grandma, trembling on her bound feet, forced to endure such humiliation. This left a deep wound on us children — we simply could not reconcile our kind, gentle grandma with the image of a hated landlord's wife. Fortunately, my parents sensed things were turning dangerous and quickly decided to send Grandma back to her home village to hide. They specially asked Uncle Xu, our family's most trusted friend and a three-generation "poor peasant", to escort her on the journey. When Uncle Xu returned, he told us that Grandma could not comprehend what was happening, and could not bear to leave the three grandchildren. Heartbroken and wronged, she wept the entire way. They traveled by bus, crossed a river by ferry, transferred to a train, then took a small steamer across Lake Chao — and finally had to walk ten li on foot to reach the village. That last walk took an entire day, and she nearly collapsed from exhaustion.
It was a blessing that Grandma was sent home when she was, because the situation soon deteriorated dramatically — armed factional fighting broke out. First, the young Red Guard factions — the "Criticize the Liaison Group" and the "Sweep Away the Black Line Group" — fought street battles with steel spikes and daggers. One clash took place right in front of our house. I remember we were terrified and fascinated at once. We children climbed up to the second story of one of the courtyard houses and watched through the street-facing window. I was timid; I only stole one glance — I saw the two sides facing off with steel pikes — then heard shouts of slogans and the sounds of combat. This was just the early phase of the armed struggle. Later, the two factions set up separate territories and began using real guns and cannons; we would often hear gunfire at night. Our whole family was secretly moved to the headquarters of the "Criticize the Liaison Group", and my parents became the core doctors at that faction's wartime hospital.
When the "Revolutionary Great Alliance" was formed and the factional fighting stopped, my mother brought Grandma back, and we resumed our daily life together. In the months Grandma had been gone, when we came home from school, the door was always locked. We wore keys around our necks and often had to go to the operating room to find our parents and wait until they finished surgery before we could go home. Only when Grandma returned did the house feel like a home again — life became settled and ordered.
Two photos capture this chapter in our family story. The first shows Grandma as I remember her — serene, dignified, in a traditional collar. The second is a family portrait from 1969: all of us, including Grandma and our young aunt, along with our dearest neighbors Mama He and Sister Xiaohui, gathered before the front door of our home.
I was thirteen when Grandmother developed oral cancer — a tumor the size of a goose egg swelled on her right cheek. When it first appeared, we children would often stroke it gently with our small hands, hoping it would slowly disappear. But the tumor only grew larger. Grandma herself said: "This is a poison tumor — I may not recover." In her final days, my uncle and cousin both came from the home village; it was my uncle who mainly tended her bedside. I heard Grandma murmur, "My children are all here now. It's time to go."
When Grandma died, the record said she was seventy-one, but her real age was probably sixty-nine. I remember she once told me she had added two years to her age, adopting my grandfather's age, as a way to remember him. My grandfather had died of starvation in the home village the year I was born, in 1960 — just like my paternal grandfather and my aunt on Dad's side, a victim of the Great Leap Forward. Grandmother never spoke of my grandfather's story, but you could see that she carried his memory with her, silently, in her heart, all those years.
— Written on September 22, 2007, on the eve of the Mid-Autumn Festival
父母每个月给外婆三块钱,作为我们孩子的零用钱。外婆手很紧,因为她要保证这零用钱维持三个孩子到月底。记得每天可以从外婆那里讨来两三分钱,我常常到街头买来一个热腾腾的小红薯头,回家跟小妹分享。这个故事我跟女儿讲,她很爱听,不时拿出来说笑一番:when you were my age, sweet patato was only two cents a piece and you always asked Granny, that is my Great Granny, for two cents to buy one and share with my antie GuGu, but never with my uncle DaBai.
The previous four installments of the Token Economics series covered:
What Token is
Why Token consumes electricity
Why Agents burn Token like crazy
Why Token keeps getting cheaper
All about Token production, consumption, and cost.
But the most important question remains unanswered:
Why is the entire world suddenly measuring everything in Token?
Put differently:
Could Token become the "currency" of the future digital economy?
The first four pieces looked at the trees.
Today, Part 5 starts looking at the forest.
Liwei's Two Minutes · Plain Language Part 5 — The New Currency of the AI Era
Many people think Token is just a technical term.
It's starting to look like much more than that.
I even suspect that, looking back decades from now, Token might become a fundamental economic indicator — on par with electricity, steel, and oil.
Why?
Because throughout human history, every industrial revolution eventually produces a unified unit of measurement.
The steam age ran on coal.
The electric age ran on kilowatt-hours.
The internet age runs on traffic.
And in the AI age, increasingly, everyone is starting to measure things in Token.
The reason is simple.
Everything AI does today ultimately comes down to Token.
Writing an article? Burning Token.
Writing code? Burning Token.
Making a PowerPoint? Burning Token.
Generating video? Burning Token.
An agent running a project? Burning Token.
Even future robots doing physical work — behind the scenes, still burning Token.
And so a strange phenomenon emerges.
We used to buy software — we paid for features.
Now it's starting to feel like: we're buying Token.
Companies used to ask about IT systems: "How much per license?"
Now they're starting to ask: "How much per million Token?"
This is actually very similar to the power grid.
No one cares how many times the generator spun.
Everyone cares about one thing: how much per kilowatt-hour.
The future may be the same.
No one will care how many parameters a model has.
Everyone will care about: how much per million Token. What's the quality. Is it reliable enough.
At that point, Token shifts from a technical concept to an economic one.
And economics has a brutal law: any standardized commodity eventually gets commoditized into a race to the bottom.
Steel went through it. Display panels went through it. Solar panels went through it.
Today's Token is walking the same path.
So while many people are still debating: which model is number one, which model is number two.
The industry is increasingly focused on: who can produce high-quality Token at the lowest cost.
Because real large-scale applications, in the end, all come down to the math.
The boss won't ask: "Did you use the world's number one model?"
The boss will only ask: "How much did we cut costs?"
And so the AI industry starts to look less like a lab and more like manufacturing.
Many people understand AI competition as: a contest of brilliant scientists.
It's increasingly looking like: a contest of national industrial systems.
Who has cheaper electricity. Who has more data centers. Who has a more complete supply chain. Who can drive down Token prices. That's who has the edge.
So a new phenomenon may emerge in future international competition:
Alongside energy exporters and manufacturing exporters, we may see a new category: Token exporters.
Whoever can consistently export cheap, high-quality Token to the world may occupy a pivotal position in the next-generation digital economy.
In the internet age, data flowed.
In the AI age, what really flows may be Token.
And everything happening today might just be the opening act.
Yesterday I watched a real-time dashcam video of a Tesla making an emergency swerve to avoid a car that suddenly shot up from the left lane entrance ramp. My immediate thought: human reaction speed simply can't handle that.
In that situation, most of us instinctively slam the brakes — which on a highway is itself dangerous. Being able to safely dodge to the right lane like FSD did is clearly the better strategy. Unfortunately, most human drivers just can't pull it off.
After driving with FSD for a long time, you develop a very strange kind of trust.
Not that it's always right. Not that you always understand why it did what it did.
But you realize: many of those heart-stopping emergency maneuvers that made you break out in a cold sweat — when you replay them later, most of them genuinely protected your safety.
Over all my years of manual driving, my default in emergencies was always the reflexive hard brake. Because only by slowing down did I feel any sense of control. It wasn't that I didn't know how to steer — I was afraid to. Because you have to check: is the right lane clear? Is there a car in my blind spot? How fast is the car behind me? Is the other driver a novice? Are they panicking? This entire judgment chain is serial — the human brain simply can't process it fast enough.
So most people, like me, instinctively hit the brakes.
But FSD is different. It's not just that it has watched countless expert drivers — it's more like a driver with many sets of eyes and reaction speeds many times faster than ours. It's constantly watching all four directions, constantly computing the space, speed, and risk in every lane.
That's why sometimes, it dares to execute lane escapes that we wouldn't dare attempt.
Of course, this brings another problem: sometimes it's overly cautious. A bird suddenly flies past in front — it might trigger an avoidance reaction. And some emergency dodges, even in hindsight, we may not fully understand. The infamous "phantom braking" from a few years ago is the classic example: tree shadows, bridge shadows, lighting changes, even road texture could trigger false alarms.
But here's what's remarkable: phantom braking has almost disappeared in recent years. I've barely encountered it myself in over a year. This tells us it's no longer just "seeing something that looks like danger" — it's increasingly understanding: what will actually hit me, and what is merely a shadow.
This is the most fascinating thing about FSD.
In its early days, it sometimes acted like a clumsy student. Now it behaves like an inhumanly fast-reacting entity.
Yesterday it executed one particular avoidance maneuver that I didn't fully understand either. Maybe it overreacted. Maybe it saw a risk we didn't. But I'm not going to dig deeper into it.
Because after long-term use, my trust in it doesn't come from faith — it comes from replaying every drive, time after time.
The vast majority of the time, those tense maneuvers that felt excessive in the moment — looking back, they were protecting us. It is far more cautious and safe than this old-timer-among-clumsy-drivers.
And that's enough.
What will truly transform driving in the future may not be whether it can drive like a human.
Before my career began, family and society shaped our character and worldview.
**"Forever Be Chairman Mao's Little Red Guard"**
When the Cultural Revolution began in 1966, I was in the first grade, six years old. More than half a century later, some memories remain as vivid as yesterday.
The three of us siblings, wearing our Little Red Guard armbands, photographed in December 1966.
When the campaign to topple Liu Shaoqi began, the first thing I noticed was Liu's official portrait pasted upside down on the street-facing wall, marked with a red cross. Soon after, more and more long banners appeared across the main street: "Burn Liu Shaoqi!" "Deep-fry Liu Shaoqi!" Then, as negative teaching material, they screened the documentary *Liu Shaoqi Visits Indonesia*. The female narration was syrupy sweet, addressing him as "Chairman Liu" and "Jakarta" in every other breath — to my ears, she sounded like a female spy. Her voice was constantly drowned out by the slogans erupting from the audience: "Down with Liu Shaoqi, Defend Chairman Mao!" "Smash the arch-traitor, arch-spy, arch-scab Liu Shaoqi to the ground and trample him underfoot, never to rise again!" Wang Guangmei on screen was dressed conspicuously well, fitting the standard definition of a bourgeois stinking woman. Later, I saw several living newspaper dramas lampooning Liu — his features caricatured into a long horse face, a high-bridged nose, the classic villain's profile. I also remember a living newspaper piece called *Burning Down the British Chargé d'Affaires Office*, which portrayed the Capital Red Guards, righteous in their fury at British imperialism, acting with militant resolve to set fire to the British Embassy — an act of collective heroism (in reality, this was an extremely serious diplomatic incident that caused Zhou Enlai immense trouble and lasting fallout). I still recall the stage effect when they set the fire: they seemed to hurl a torch into the embassy, followed by a loud bang and a plume of thick smoke. I was in the front row and choked on the smoke, coughing hard, and I was genuinely startled. The artistic creativity of the revolutionary masses, producing such vivid stage realism, left a deep imprint on the mind of a six-year-old me.
Around this time came the campaign to "Destroy the Four Old's" (old ideas, old culture, old customs, old habits) and establish the Four New's. Every household voluntarily surrendered items suspected of being "Four Old's" — copper coins, bracelets, ornaments, even ceramic toys of cats and dogs — to be publicly destroyed. The stone lions beside the stone bridge were toppled into the ditch by the young Red Guards; since they couldn't be smashed, chisels were used to disfigure them. The influence spread far: by early 1967, a "Revolutionary Spring Festival" was mandated. Adults had no holiday — they must persist in "grasping revolution and promoting production" — while all New Year celebrations and entertainments were cancelled. Even the traditional four-corner red envelope money for children was voluntarily suspended.
Some elderly people, lifelong habits unbroken, still called matches "foreign fire" and iron nails "foreign nails." These old terms originated in the pre-revolutionary era when China could not even produce matches and nails domestically and had to import them. But by 1966, such old terms could bring trouble. I once saw a tiny-footed old woman totter into a small shop and ask for "foreign fire." The shop assistant replied coldly: "Don't have any." When the old woman pointed to the goods on the counter, the assistant erupted in fury.
Before armed struggle erupted, great debates — the weapon of literary struggle — became prevalent. Even elementary school students debated each other, often turning red in the face. I was too young to get a word in, but I loved listening. What they debated I mostly can't recall, except for one recurring topic: the dialectical relationship between family background and individual performance. The affirmative position was "Heroes beget heroes," while the opposition stressed "What matters is personal conduct." Both sides seemed righteous and indignant, both could quote Chairman Mao's quotations, both seemed to have good arguments. Later, my elder brother took the lead in forming a Little Red Guard revolutionary organization (with a fifth-grader serving as strategist behind the scenes), calling it the "Dagger Squad." Every grade had its representatives. Through this connection, I too was honorably swept up in the revolutionary movement — duties like carrying the paste bucket for the young fighters putting up big-character posters. I remember my brother and his comrades setting up a "Dagger Squad Office" at a table in the corridor of my father's hospital. The squad's most glorious exploit, the one I remember most clearly, was an assault on a school meeting. The squad learned that the school leadership was holding a faculty meeting at seven in the evening and decided on a surprise raid. I had the good fortune to follow my brother on this revolutionary action. I remember the meeting was in progress when the squad burst into the room, shouting: "What kind of black meeting are you holding here?" The leaders, seeing it was a bunch of children, didn't know whether to laugh or cry, and explained that this was a routine school affairs meeting. The squad leader declared: "Then we're attending too." Some leader apparently advised that a work meeting wasn't convenient for students. That set off an explosion. The young fighters, each more righteous than the last, delivered their rebuttals: We are Chairman Mao's Little Red Guards — if we don't attend, who will? You hold black meetings behind the backs of the revolutionary young fighters — how poisonous your intentions must be! Not only will we attend, we demand you honestly hand over all previous meeting records. If you dare not disclose your meeting records, you must have unspeakable criminal aims, and we will rebel against you. And so on. I remember the school leaders finally conceded, agreeing that young fighter representatives could attend all faculty meetings. I was as excited as everyone else, filled with the pride of this initial victory in struggle. Unfortunately, I suffered from night blindness at the time, and on the way back my vision went completely dark. An older girl from a higher grade held my hand and walked me home (my brother, as rebel leader, stayed behind to discuss the next phase of the struggle strategy). This revolutionary action enormously boosted the young fighters' morale and opened the prelude to rebellion against the elementary school leadership, soon followed by a flood of big-character posters exposing the schemes of the capitalist-roaders.
In the early days of the Great Revolution, the three of us siblings, led by our brother every day, would stand before the Precious Book platform for morning pledges and evening reports — earnest and ceremonial, and we kept it up for a long time.
For the first time in human history, there is a kind of "employee" that can work 24 hours a day — no sleep, no salary, no social security, no rights claims, no strikes, no sickness, no retirement.
And the truly absurd part: it can replicate itself.
This thing is called an **AI agent**.
---
## Here's the problem
In the old world, when a boss hired 1,000 people, the state collected: income tax, social security, health insurance, unemployment insurance, pension contributions.
Now the boss fires all 1,000 and replaces them with AI. Efficiency skyrockets. Profits skyrocket. Stock prices skyrocket.
**But the tax base evaporates.**
The state can no longer collect revenue. The unemployed are still there.
And so we arrive at a surreal paradox:
> AI is simultaneously driving unprecedented productivity growth and hollowing out the fiscal foundation of society.
The entire modern state is built on the premise that human labor pays taxes. AGI is erasing "human labor" itself.
**This is the real nuclear bomb.**
---
## "Just learn AI" is wishful thinking
Many people still comfort themselves: "Just pick up some AI skills, transition to a new role, and you'll be fine."
This is increasingly delusional. Because the cruelest part is: even the act of "using AI" will eventually be automated by AI.
You think the jobs of the future are "AI Operator," "Prompt Engineer," "Agent Manager" — but agents are already using agents. Even "prompt engineer," that transitional role, may turn out to be nothing more than a temporary bubble in a technological wave.
Two years ago, the entire internet was selling prompt engineering courses. Today, that looks like a punchline.
---
## This time is different
Past technological revolutions created new jobs. The automobile killed the horse carriage but created the auto mechanic. The internet killed print newspapers but created e-commerce and live-streamers.
This time is different. The new systems AI creates are inherently *de-peopled*. Because AI's single greatest advantage is precisely this: **it doesn't need people.**
---
## AI must pay taxes
If AI replaces people, who pays the taxes?
The answer is simple: **AI itself must pay taxes.**
For every token you consume, every GPU you run, every inference you perform, every kilowatt of AI electricity — you pay a corresponding "AI social tax."
Because when you used to hire a person, you were already paying those taxes. Now you replace the person with AI and bear zero social cost — that is fundamentally unfair.
Many will shout: "You're stifling technological progress!"
**So what?**
Is the sole purpose of human society to allow capital and compute to multiply without limit?
- The Industrial Revolution polluted the environment → we got environmental taxes.
- Cars consume public roads → we got fuel taxes.
- AI destroys the employment tax base → why can't we have an AI tax?
---
## It takes everyone
The real danger is not that AI is too powerful. It's that once AI becomes powerful enough, the entire social revenue structure collapses.
And here's the darkest irony: the people most likely to support an AI tax in the future may be exactly those who understand AI best. Because they know most clearly: once this thing truly matures, it doesn't just replace the "bottom rung."
**It sweeps the board.**
White-collar workers, programmers, designers, analysts, customer service, translators, paralegals, researchers — no one escapes.
In the past, society could comfort people with one line: "You just didn't work hard enough."
But the cruelest truth of the AGI era is this: sometimes, it's not that you didn't work hard. It's that you, as a member of the species "human employee," are beginning to lose economic viability altogether.
Ever since Qu Yuan, Chinese literati have been fond of tracing their ancestry to illustrious roots — "descendant of Gaoyang the Divine Emperor" and such declarations — to signal their noble bloodlines. When I was compiling and editing A Collection of Master Li's Posthumous Writings: Prefaces, I came across this passage in the first piece, "Preface to the Li Family Genealogy," explaining the origin of the family name Li:
"The forerunners of the Li clan, surnamed Ying, traced their descent from Gaoyang of the Zhuanxu lineage. One descendant, Gao Yao, served as Grand Justice (Dali) under Emperor Yao, and the family adopted 'Li' (理, meaning 'principle' or 'justice') as their surname from the title. During the reign of King Zhou of Shang, a descendant named Li Zhen fled with his mother to the lost land of Yihou. Starving, they survived by eating plums (李, li) from the trees. To evade King Zhou's persecution, they changed their surname from 理 (Justice) to the homophonous 李 (Plum), and their descendants have borne this name ever since."
In my earlier, more perfunctory readings of the Posthumous Writings, I had mostly skipped Master Li's abstruse classical prose, drawn instead to the more accessible "modern writings" of my two granduncles in the appendix. As a result, I never registered this origin story. But my daughter once asked me: "Dad, you said our family name Li means plum — how come? Does that mean we Li family like plums in particular?" I had no idea whether the surname Li was actually connected to the fruit, so I dodged the question and told little Tiantian instead that statistically, Li had risen to become the most common surname in China — and perhaps the world. Even in our tiny Buffalo office there were two Uncle Li's — one of Korean descent. But eight hundred years ago, we were all one family.
Master Li's own account of this family history — the fall from officialdom, the change from 理 to 李, the "pointing at the tree and taking its name" — struck me as too sparse. So I searched online and found a fuller treatise, On Gao Yao, Blood Ancestor of the Li Surname. It turned out that the primogenitor Gao Yao served Emperor Yao and Shun as Grand Justice — a minister of incorruptible integrity, whose achievements in statecraft were so esteemed that Emperor Shun personally named him his successor. Even Confucius honored him as one of the Four Sages of antiquity. In ancient China, officials took their office titles as surnames, hence 理氏 (the Li of Justice). Tragically, Sage Gao Yao died before ascending the throne. Generations later, under the depraved King Zhou of Shang, a descendant named Li Zheng served as Grand Justice with the same upright character — and for his honesty, the debauched king had him executed. His wife Qihe fled with their young son Lizhen to the lost land of Yihou (in present-day Henan). Starving, they spotted fruit on a tree and ate to survive. Afraid of the king's pursuers, Lizhen dared not keep the surname 理. In gratitude for the "wood-seed" (muzi, 木子 — the character parts that combine to form 李) that saved them, he changed the family name to Li. From this seed, the Li lineage — the largest family name under heaven — branched and flourished across generations.
I told my daughter: not only do we come from a scholarly family, we are the direct descendants of Sage Gao Tao himself.
Master Li — Li Xiansheng, courtesy name Xuexiang — was my great-grandfather. A Collection of Master Li's Posthumous Writings, compiled in vernacular classical Chinese (also called "modern classical style"), gathers his surviving works — poems, lyrics, celebratory couplets, elegies, prefaces, and miscellaneous essays — transcribed by his disciples and privately published in the 1930s.
The Posthumous Writings also includes works by my two granduncles: elder granduncle Li Yingwen and younger granduncle Li Yinghui. My great-grandfather was exceptionally open-minded about education, selling off family land to send his sons (my granduncles) to study in Japan. My own grandfather (Li Yingqi, the second son), however, was kept at home to manage the family estate, forfeiting the chance for overseas education. It's said that every year, my grandfather would travel to Nanjing to remit money from land sales to his two brothers in Japan. In the early 1920s, the two granduncles returned with law and political science degrees from Meiji University — rare credentials for that era, and a springboard for significant careers. That their subsequent achievements remained relatively modest (disproportionate to their education) and confined to the local sphere, I attribute to three factors: first, the times were harsh, with China in ceaseless turmoil from war and upheaval throughout the early 20th century; second, my great-grandfather was indifferent to fame and fortune, urging his children to carry on the family mission of local education rather than venture into the wider world; third, both granduncles suffered from poor health — they lacked the physical constitution for "revolution." Elder Granduncle Yingwen was bedridden for years, and it was country life that gradually restored his health. Younger Granduncle Yinghui died tragically young. Yet their writings reveal open minds deeply engaged with the issues of their day. Besides rustic pastoral pieces like "Li Yingwen — Elegy for a Dead Dove," they also produced fiery patriotic works, such as "Li Yinghui — Manifesto of the Anti-Japanese Association (Modeled on the Denunciation of Empress Wu)" and "Li Yingwen — Preface for Wang Joining the Volunteer Army."
My grandfather died in the great famine of my birth year — a calamity that was three-tenths natural disaster, seven-tenths man-made catastrophe. Among the three brothers, only Elder Granduncle Yingwen was fortunate: he passed away peacefully at home in 1965, surrounded by every Li family descendant who had gathered for a grand funeral (see the family photograph below). I still remember each of us grandchildren, after the coffin was lowered, taking turns to scoop up a handful of yellow earth. As an enlightened gentry figure and a "united front target," Granduncle Yingwen had been treated with courtesy by the local government and was even elected as a county representative to the People's Congress, thus escaping the reach of political campaigns. That he departed this world the year before the Cultural Revolution began was an even greater stroke of fortune — otherwise, given the complexity of his personal history, he would have suffered terribly in that great upheaval. My maternal grandmother, who raised us through those years, was dragged out and struggled against during the Cultural Revolution, forced to wear a "Landlord Element" placard every day, subjected to humiliation that cast a lasting shadow over our childhood.
The above accounts for my "scholarly family" background — except that by my father's generation, the family fortune had seriously declined. Beset by foreign invasion and civil war, the country was in chaos, and life grew harder each day. My father often went hungry and cold as a child. In its heyday, the Li family's Chongshi Academy had enjoyed wide renown, its students scattered across the land like peaches and plums filling the world. Yet this decline proved a hidden blessing: when the Land Reform came, our family was classified as "Small-Scale Land Lessors" rather than one of the "Four Categories" (landlords, rich peasants, counter-revolutionaries, and bad elements — later expanded to include "rightists" designated in 1957). This spared us, the younger generation, from the brunt of political persecution.
The matter of "Small-Scale Land Lessor" classification carried its own stories. When we were children, family class status was an all-important political label: children of "poor and lower-middle peasants" were considered born revolutionaries with "red roots and upright shoots," innately superior. Children of the "landlord, rich peasant, counter-revolutionary, bad element, and rightist" classes faced extreme social discrimination — denied opportunities for factory jobs, schooling, and more — and suffered constant bullying in daily life. I remember a girl in our elementary class who came from a landlord family; she cut such a pitiable figure, never able to hold her head up, yet classmates still taunted her relentlessly. In such an environment, we were all acutely sensitive about our family background. My own family situation was precarious: my mother was born into a landlord family — a pitiable sort of landlord, really; my maternal grandfather had saved every penny from a small business, denied himself fine food and clothing, tightened the whole family's belts, and poured everything into buying land in hopes of modest prosperity — and in return won a landlord label. This became a fiercely guarded family secret. Fortunately, a child's class status followed the father, so every time we filled out a form, the "family class" box read "Small-Scale Land Lessor." The problem was, for a long time, we had no idea what this obscure, tongue-twisting classification actually meant politically, which left us perpetually anxious. I remember classmates discussing our strange class label. One self-proclaimed authority declared: "Small-Scale Land Lessor — that means little landlord!" (It wasn't that far off, actually.) And with that, we were suddenly shoved into the camp of "class enemies," utterly mortified. My cousin suffered the same anxiety. Then one day, he announced triumphantly that, after deep research — studying Chairman Mao's works and relevant Party policy documents — he had discovered that "Small-Scale Land Lessor" was essentially equivalent to "Upper-Middle Peasant," which placed us squarely among the "united objects" of the revolutionary ranks. What's more, Chairman Mao himself came from an upper-middle-peasant family. These momentous findings brought us immense relief.
The old family home in Keshan — I visited it as a child, when my cousin led us up the mountain; it felt like the Mountain of Flowers and Fruit, remote and secluded. A few years ago, on a trip home to China, my brother drove us back there. It remains a forgotten corner to this day — a single mountain road, bumpy and dusty, narrowing to barely a car's width as you approach. My ancestors must have chosen this Jiangnan hillside deliberately, building their grand compound in a spirit of retreat from the world, carving out their own Peach Blossom Spring. My father's memoir, Decades Through Wind and Rain, contains a vivid description of the family school there:
A Glance Back at the Old Residence
A deep courtyard mansion, antique and elegant, nestled against the mountain and facing a stream, oriented east to west. Above the main gate, the couplet "The Nation's Grace, the Family's Joy / May Men Live Long, May Years Bring Harvest" stood steadfast through the seasons. The main quarters comprised five large rooms in the front row and five in the back, joined in the middle by three open-air courtyards flanked by two wings on either side. The three rows, each two stories high, formed an integrated whole. Upstairs, a continuous corridor circled the entire compound — a gallery on which one could stroll freely. To the left stood two "new rooms"; to the right and rear, a row of auxiliary quarters. The front courtyard, with its large and small gates, contained seven flower terraces, where pines and cypresses complemented one another, blossoms clustered in splendor, and fruit filled the air with fragrance. Among the flowers: plum, chrysanthemum, osmanthus, rose, briar, and sacred bamboo. Among the fruits: persimmon, peach, apricot, plum, and jujube. Every doorway was flanked by stone drums and lions; the courtyards were paved in marble. The bricks and tiles were custom-fired in the family's own kiln, of the highest quality; the timber, first-rate, was floated down the river from Jiangxi on rafts — a testament to the master-builder's meticulous vision. The upper floor of the main building served as classrooms and student dormitories; the lower floor and the "new rooms" were the family living quarters; the foot-house housed the wine-making workshop, kitchen, and firewood store.
以前读《李老夫子遗墨》比较偷懒,基本跳过晦涩难懂的李老夫子正文,而对《遗墨附录》中更贴近近現代生活的两位叔爷的"时文"感兴趣,因此对这段"李氏"来源的掌故没有印象。女儿小时候问我:"Dad, you said our family name Li means plum, how come? Does that mean we Li family like plums in particular?" 我当时不知道"李氏"跟李子到底有沒有关联,只好顾左右而言他,告诉甜甜,据最新统计,"李氏"似乎已经上升到中国的(可能也是世界上的)第一大姓,就連小小的水牛城辦公室就有兩位 Uncle Li's, 其中一位還是朝鮮族裔,但八百年前都是一家人哪。
The kind of cut where you just flip the table over. By the end of May, prices dropped to a quarter of what they were.
Many people's first reaction: Chinese AI companies are starting a price war.
But I increasingly feel that understanding this only as a "price war" is way too shallow.
Because what's really happening here might be this: tokens are becoming industrialized.
What does that mean?
For the past two years, the global AI world has operated under a quiet assumption: high-quality tokens are expensive.
Because: models are expensive, GPUs are expensive, training is expensive, electricity is expensive.
So everyone defaulted to the idea that AI must be a high-margin industry.
Until Chinese models started slashing prices like crazy.
And for the first time, many people discovered: tokens might actually be like steel, display panels, solar panels, lithium batteries — entering a terrifying process of industrial cost reduction.
Behind this story is something deeply Chinese.
What do I mean?
American AI companies often follow a path of "high performance, high margins, high valuation." A bit like luxury goods.
But once Chinese companies start competing, things tend to look different: "First, crush the cost."
Then: massive scale, infrastructure-ization, supply-chain-ization, engineering optimization, labor optimization, power optimization. Eventually grinding the entire industry into "cabbage-price industrial capability."
Over the past twenty years, China has done this repeatedly. Solar power, EV batteries, drones, display panels, e-commerce, high-speed rail... The pattern is roughly the same.
Early stage: others think it's high tech. Later stage: China industrializes it. End result: profits vanish, but production capacity blankets the world.
Today, tokens are starting to look more and more like this story.
Because tokens are not fundamentally mysterious. They are, in the end, "data processing capability produced by an industrial system." And what is an industrial system best at? Reducing costs.
So now an especially interesting dynamic has emerged: American frontier models may still maintain the strongest capability. But Chinese models are closing in fast — maybe a few months behind, maybe still a bit weaker in certain areas. But the price is already shockingly low.
So developers around the world are facing a very pragmatic choice: "Do I need the world's strongest, or do I need strong enough + ten times cheaper?"
This question is deadly.
Because in most of the business world, what ultimately matters is not "theoretical peak performance" but "overall cost-effectiveness."
As tokens get cheaper and cheaper, many AI applications that were previously "too expensive to run" suddenly become viable.
In the past, AI was like a five-star hotel. Now it's starting to look like tap water.
Developers used to worry: "Is this agent going to burn dozens of dollars a day?" Now the attitude is shifting to: "Whatever, let it run."
And so token consumption begins to explode further. Which in turn drives even larger data centers, cheaper inference chips, more aggressive engineering optimization. The whole system enters a kind of industrial flywheel.
The most interesting part is: what this competition ultimately comes down to may no longer be just the model.
It's about: who has cheaper electricity; who has more data centers; who has cheaper engineers; who has a more complete supply chain; who can better tolerate thin margins.
In other words: AI competition is increasingly looking like modern industrial system competition, not just lab competition.
Many people still think of AI as "a few brilliant scientists changing the world." But what it increasingly resembles is "an entire national industrial system collectively entering the field to produce tokens."
In the internet era, China's greatest strength was "application industrialization." In the AI era, what might be truly terrifying about China is: token industrialization.
And as token prices keep falling, developers around the world will ultimately vote with their feet. Because the vast majority of companies, in the end, have to do the math.
For many young people, leaving one's homeland or staying behind can be an entangled, irresolvable contradiction — much like the dilemma in Qian Zhongshu's Fortress Besieged: those inside the walls gaze out at the dazzling world beyond; no matter how comfortable life within may be, they can never shake the regret of not having tasted the outside firsthand. Those who venture far, having endured every hardship, come at last to understand: homesickness cannot be filled with material things. That was exactly how I felt back then. After graduate school I dug in for five years — my work and life were on a steady upward climb, the future bright. Yet watching my classmates and friends leave for abroad one group after another, I felt an inexplicable emptiness. In the end I caught the last train out. But the sky over a foreign land was so strange — the constellations I knew from childhood summer nights, the fairy tales and daydreams that attended them, could never again be pieced together whole.
I recall those first days in England. Though I was already past thirty, though I'd come to Manchester alongside many friends, though I'd long since weathered in Beijing years of wandering far from home town — leaving my native land still carried an indescribable anguish: like a blade of grass torn out by the roots, battered by wind and rain, a vast bottomless emptiness and disorientation welling up within. At the start of term, in front of the student union building, every kind of student club was recruiting — bustling crowds, peals of laughter — yet I seemed to inhabit another dimension altogether, displaced from reality, unable to grasp the commotion around me, powerless to dispel a nameless melancholy.
Then came a decade of severance. Save for the companionship of Huaxia Wenzhai (China News Digest), and the occasional holiday phone calls or greeting cards to family, I had lost all contact with the motherland. Little did I know that this was precisely the decade in which China underwent its most earth-shaking transformation. Not until my first trip home in 2001 did I realize, with a jolt, that I had once again been displaced in time and space. Standing on the familiar yet alien streets of Beijing, watching the endless streams of people, I felt with an incurable certainty that this world no longer had anything to do with me. Was this the city that had left me so many warm memories? The Beijing I'd yearned for in my dreams now stood before me like a stranger! In the ancient capital I took such pride in, I could not understand the bustle around me, nor could I dispel that nameless melancholy.
Only my childhood hometown remains forever vivid in my mind, never fading. Thirty years have distilled the villages of southern Anhui into thick oil paints: golden yellow, fiery crimson. Endless fields of rapeseed flowers stretching to the horizon, and mountainsides aflame with azaleas in full bloom.
I have passed through countless cities and towns, witnessed many breathtaking scenes — the Gold Coast of Australia, the bays and forests of Vancouver, the autumn leaves of American national parks, and Niagara Falls in Buffalo — searching all the way, yet never finding rapeseed flowers and azaleas like those of home. Not until I returned to visit my family, catching the rapeseed bloom by chance, did I once again behold those patchwork fields of gold and breathe in the fragrance of the soil of home. I captured those golden expanses on video and stored them away, afraid they might slip away again.
Homesickness, like love, is an eternal theme of literature and art. From Li Bai's "Raising my head, I gaze at the bright moon; lowering it, I think of home," to Tao Yuanming's "Come Away Home"; from Chyi Yu's "Olive Tree" to Fei Xiang's "Clouds of Home"; from Ma Sicong's "Homesickness Melody" to the American folk song "Five Hundred Miles." In the still of night, in a foreign land, a gentle folk ballad flows like a quiet stream and soaks into my heart — it is the Kingston Trio singing "Five Hundred Miles," the shared melancholy of every wanderer under heaven.
Homesickness is an invisible net — where does the road of wandering end?
On the twenty-seventh day of the twelfth month, in the year 1981, the faculty and students of the English Department of Anqing Normal College forgathered at a modest tavern beside the River-Welcoming Temple for our farewell revels. Returning thereafter to the college grounds, we inscribed parting words in one another's journals, as the spirit moved us. What follows are verses composed in that hour of exaltation, offered to my several schoolfellows:
A thousand days we shared one shadow, one form;
Now East and West divide us after this day.
Together we tilled the mountain of learning,
Together we sail the sea of scholarship.
What warrior feareth the biting frost?
The gardener asketh only that his blooms flourish.
Let the keen eye discern the thousand-*li* steed,
And in service of the Four Modernizations, burn ever crimson.
William's Reply — Forty-Four Years After
Forty-four winters of dreams and traces,
Frost at the temples, scattered East and West.
Once we crowded together on youth's narrow bunk;
Now we watch the same sunset glow from afar.
>
Half a life in code, half a life in wine;
A road of ups and downs, a road of wind.
Speak not of yellowing pages and aging scholars —
Still the rainbow beareth up within this breast.
A Letter Sent from Afar to Brother Ding
I recall the waning days of the xinyou year: the frost-bells had scarce begun to sound, and a whisper of snow hung in the air. We, the graduating class, gathered to drink beside the ancient River-Welcoming Temple — a lonely lamp in a humble tavern, cups raised without restraint. In that hour the Wan River lay silent, and the shadow of Zhenfeng Pagoda swayed upon the cold moon; the long avenue was soon to fall still, yet the ardour of youth still surged. Drink-warmed and flushed with feeling, we clasped hands and wrote upon one another's garments. Some wept, some sang, and none could bring themselves to cease.
Ah! For several years we shared the dawn-lamp and the midnight tome. From upper bunk to lower, our wild talk startled the neighbours; by flickering lamplight over tattered texts, our ambition reached for the blue clouds. Some nights we stole away to listen to the Voice of America beneath the moon; on frosty mornings we declaimed Linguaphone in its pure London accent. Paper was too short, feeling too long; our ink ran riot. But the spirit of youth had already bestrode the age.
Ere long we scattered to the four quarters, each upon his dusty road. You, brother, spread your wings at Tongcheng; I drifted like a thistledown to the ends of the sea. Some were broken on the rocks of fortune, some foundered in the currents of fame; some bowed for bread, some grew grey upon the rivers and lakes of the world. Then we were blue-robed youths; now frost invades our temples. Then we roamed the world in talk, full of jest and ribaldry; now each guards his solitary citadel. Life is as a horse glimpsed through a crack in the gate — a flicker and gone. Whenever I think upon those old wanderings, it is as though I hear a distant bell.
And yet the road of the world, though hard, hath not slain the heart. I remember how we rode stirrup to stirrup up the mountain of books, how we shared one vessel upon the sea of learning. Did we not then count ourselves among the remarkable spirits of the age? Though now grown old, we may yet rejoice that our gall hath not chilled, nor our lamp been extinguished. Over wine we discuss the transformations wrought by AI, even as once we debated the Four Modernizations; in the deep night we survey the new configurations of the world, still nursing the will to strike the oars in midstream.
Wherefore I take up the brush today to answer your verse — not for ornament's sake, but for an old friend's. May you, brother, like the aged steed in the stable, ever cherish the heart that would gallop a thousand li. May we, though late in our years, yet remain travellers in this age. If some distant day we gather again, let us bring our cloudy wine and speak once more of youth. Then, though our heads be full of white, we may yet laugh aloud and declare:
"The bookish ardour of those young days — even now, it hath not cooled."
The truly dangerous thing about the AI bubble isn't the technology.
It's that the entire world is front-loading financing for "decades of future intelligence demand" — all at once.
During the mobile internet era, people burned cash, sure. But they found revenue fast. Food delivery had customers. Ride-hailing had riders. E-commerce had buyers. Short videos had viewers. Ads had advertisers. Consumer-facing sectors — food, clothing, housing, transport, communication, entertainment, shopping — were all low-hanging fruit. The business loop closed quickly.
But AI is different. To this day, most of what's genuinely deployed at scale is still: writing weekly reports, making slides, generating images, customer service bots, coding assistants. Valuable? Yes. That's not the problem.
The real problem is this: the capital markets are already betting at the scale of "everyone consuming intelligence all the time." GPUs bought first. Data centers built first. Debt taken on first. Valuations pumped first. Pension funds entered first. The world is building "intelligence power plants" at unprecedented speed.
But here's the question: who, exactly, is going to consume intelligence the way we consume electricity today — continuously, at scale?
The biggest gamble in AI right now isn't whether models will get smarter. It's whether the explosion of B2B vertical applications can outpace the depletion of funding, GPU depreciation, data center debt, and the capital market's patience.
If Agentic AI genuinely penetrates core enterprise workflows — turning productivity gains into real profits — then a lot of today's crazed investments will be vindicated by history. But if the growth of real demand moves slower than the pace the capital markets have already priced in, then a lot of what today represents "the future" of AI may end up as: piles of power-hungry GPUs generating insufficient cash flow.
The railroad changed the world. Railroad stocks still crashed. The internet changed the world. Dot-coms still littered the battlefield. AI will probably change the world too. But a technological revolution being real has never meant a bubble doesn't exist.
A thousand days we shared one shadow, one form; Now East and West divide us after this day. Together we tilled the mountain of learning, Together we sail the sea of scholarship. What warrior feareth the biting frost? The gardener asketh only that his blooms flourish. Let the keen eye discern the thousand-li steed, And in service of the Four Modernizations, burn ever crimson.
William's Reply
Forty-four winters of dreams and traces, Frost at the temples, scattered East and West. Once we crowded together on youth's narrow bunk; Now we watch the same sunset glow from afar.
Half a life in code, half a life in wine; A road of ups and downs, a road of wind. Speak not of yellowing pages and aging scholars — Still the rainbow beareth up within this breast.
A Letter Sent from Afar to Brother Ding
I recall the waning days of the xinyou year: the frost-bells had scarce begun to sound, and a whisper of snow hung in the air. We, the graduating class, gathered to drink beside the ancient River-Welcoming Temple — a lonely lamp in a humble tavern, cups raised without restraint. In that hour the Wan River lay silent, and the shadow of Zhenfeng Pagoda swayed upon the cold moon; the long avenue was soon to fall still, yet the ardour of youth still surged. Drink-warmed and flushed with feeling, we clasped hands and wrote upon one another's garments. Some wept, some sang, and none could bring themselves to cease.
Ah! For several years we shared the dawn-lamp and the midnight tome. From upper bunk to lower, our wild talk startled the neighbours; by flickering lamplight over tattered texts, our ambition reached for the blue clouds. Some nights we stole away to listen to the Voice of America beneath the moon; on frosty mornings we declaimed Linguaphone in its pure London accent. Paper was too short, feeling too long; our ink ran riot. But the spirit of youth had already bestrode the age.
Ere long we scattered to the four quarters, each upon his dusty road. You, brother, spread your wings at Tongcheng; I drifted like a thistledown to the ends of the sea. Some were broken on the rocks of fortune, some foundered in the currents of fame; some bowed for bread, some grew grey upon the rivers and lakes of the world. Then we were blue-robed youths; now frost invades our temples. Then we roamed the world in talk, full of jest and ribaldry; now each guards his solitary citadel. Life is as a horse glimpsed through a crack in the gate — a flicker and gone. Whenever I think upon those old wanderings, it is as though I hear a distant bell.
And yet the road of the world, though hard, hath not slain the heart. I remember how we rode stirrup to stirrup up the mountain of books, how we shared one vessel upon the sea of learning. Did we not then count ourselves among the remarkable spirits of the age? Though now grown old, we may yet rejoice that our gall hath not chilled, nor our lamp been extinguished. Over wine we discuss the transformations wrought by AI, even as once we debated the Four Modernizations; in the deep night we survey the new configurations of the world, still nursing the will to strike the oars in midstream.
Wherefore I take up the brush today to answer your verse — not for ornament's sake, but for an old friend's. May you, brother, like the aged steed in the stable, ever cherish the heart that would gallop a thousand li. May we, though late in our years, yet remain travellers in this age. If some distant day we gather again, let us bring our cloudy wine and speak once more of youth. Then, though our heads be full of white, we may yet laugh aloud and declare:
"The bookish ardour of those young days — even now, it hath not cooled."